Tuesday , July 8, 2025 |   14:17:05 IST
INTL TAXATION INTL MISC TP FDI LIBRARY VISA BIPA NRI
About Us Contact Us Newsletters
 
NEWS FLASH
 
 
TII SEARCH
 
 
   
Home >> News Brief
 

Global economy to grow by 2.9% in 2024: OECD
By TII News Service
Jun 07, 2023 , Paris

    

THE global economy has begun to improve, but the recovery will be weak, according to the OECD’s latest Economic Outlook. The Economic Outlook projects a moderation of global GDP growth from 3.3% in 2022 to 2.7% in 2023, followed by a pick-up to 2.9% in 2024.

Lower energy prices are easing the strain on household budgets, business and consumer sentiment are recovering, albeit from low levels, and the re-opening of China has provided a boost to global activity.

Headline inflation in the OECD is projected to decline from 9.4% in 2022 to 6.6% in 2023 and 4.3% in 2024. The decline in inflation is due to tighter monetary policy taking effect, lower energy and food prices and reduced supply bottlenecks.

GDP growth in the United States is projected to be 1.6% in 2023, before slowing to 1.0% in 2024 in response to tight monetary and financial conditions. In the euro area, declining headline inflation will help to boost real incomes and contribute to a pick-up in GDP growth from 0.9% in 2023 to 1.5% in 2024. China is expected to see strong increases in GDP growth in 2023 (with 5.4%) and 2024 (with 5.1%), due to the lifting of the government’s zero-COVID policy.

"This projected recovery, while almost unchanged from our interim projections in March, maintains the slightly more optimistic outlook that had been predicted and which we are now seeing materialise," OECD Secretary-General Mathias Cormann said. "Policy makers must get inflation durably down to target and unwind broad fiscal support by better targeting fiscal measures. While continuing to respond to the immediate economic challenges, it remains important to prioritise structural reforms to boost productivity, including by promoting competition, reviving investment, increasing female workforce participation and alleviating supply constraints, while securing the green and digital transformations of our economies." 

The upturn remains fragile and risks are tilted to the downside. Uncertainty over the evolution of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine and its global impact remains a key concern. Some of the favourable conditions that helped to reduce energy demand this year, like a mild winter in Europe, may not be repeated next year.

The persistence of inflation is another key downside risk. Core inflation is proving sticky, on the back of strong service price increases and higher profits in some sectors. The impact of higher interest rates is increasingly being felt across the economy, and restrictive monetary policy, while necessary, risks further exposing financial vulnerabilities, in particular in countries with high debt.

Against this backdrop, the Outlook lays out a series of policy recommendations, underlining that the need to lower inflation, adjust fiscal policy and promote sustainable growth entails significant challenges for policy makers.

Monetary policy should remain restrictive until there are clear signs that underlying inflationary pressures are durably reduced. Fiscal support, which has played a vital role in helping the global economy through the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, should be scaled back, becoming more targeted and calibrated toward future needs. Broad energy-related support should be withdrawn as energy prices fall and minimum wages and welfare benefits are being increased to take account of past inflation in many countries.

"Fiscal policy should prioritise productivity-enhancing public investments, including those driving the green transition and boosting labour supply and skills," OECD Chief Economist Clare Lombardelli said. "Renewed reform efforts to reduce constraints in labour and product markets and to reignite private investment and productivity growth would improve sustainable living standards and strengthen the recovery from the current low growth outlook."

The Outlook includes a special chapter dedicated to women’s economic empowerment, setting out policy recommendations, including on expanding flexible work arrangements, addressing tax and benefit disincentives and improving access to childcare. It highlights that removing structural barriers and discrimination to realise gender equality, must be a high priority to boost long-term economic well-being and prosperity.

 
 
INTL TAXATION INTL MISC TP FDI LIBRARY VISA BIPA NRI TII
  • DTAA
  • Circulars (I-T Act, 1922)
  • Limited Treaties
  • Other Treaties
  • TIEAs
  • Notifications
  • Circulars
  • Relevant Sections of I-T Rules,1962
  • Instructions
  • Administrative Orders
  • DRP Panel
  • I-T Act, 1961
  • MLI
  • Relevant Portion of I-T Act,1922
  • GAAR
  • MAP
  • OECD Conventions
  • Draft Guidelines
  • DTC Bill
  • Committee Reports
  • FATCA
  • Intl-Taxation
  • Finance Acts
  • Manual on EoI
  • UN Model Taxation
  • Miscellaneous
  • Cost Inflation Index
  • Union Budget
  • Information Security Guidelines
  • APA Annual Report
  • APA Rules
  • Miscellaneous
  • Relevant Sections of Act
  • Instructions
  • Circulars
  • Notifications
  • Draft Notifications
  • Forms
  • TP Rules
  • APA FAQ
  • UN Manual on TP
  • Safe Harbour Rules
  • US Transfer Pricing
  • FEMA Act
  • Exchange Manual
  • Fema Notifications
  • Master Circulars
  • Press Notes
  • Rules
  • FDI Circulars
  • RBI Circulars
  • Reports
  • FDI Approved
  • RBI Other Notifications
  • FIPB Review
  • FEO Act
  • INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY
  • CBR Act
  • NBFC Report
  • Black Money Act
  • PMLA Instruction
  • PMLA Bill
  • FM Budget Speeches
  • Multimodal Transportation
  • Vienna Convention
  • EXIM Bank LoC
  • Manufacturing Policy
  • FTDR Act, 1992
  • White Paper on Black Money
  • Posting Policy
  • PMLA Cases
  • Transfer of Property
  • MCA Circular
  • Limitation Act
  • Type of Visa
  • SSAs
  • EPFO
  • Acts
  • FAQs
  • Rules
  • Guidelines
  • Tourist Visa
  • Notifications
  • Arbitration
  • Model Text
  • Agreements
  • Relevant Portion of I-T Act
  • I-T Rules, 1962
  • Circulars
  • MISC
  • Notification
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  •  
     
    A Taxindiaonline Website. Copyright © 2010-2025 | Privacy Policy | Taxindiainternational.com Pvt. Ltd. OPC All rights reserved.